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Table 1 Model input parameters

From: Economic evaluation of NALIRIFOX vs. nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine regimens for first-line treatment of metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma from U.S. perspective

Name

Baseline value

Low

Upper

Distribution

Source

Cost ($)

Leucovorin calcium injection (50 mg)

4.46

3.57

5.35

gamma

[17]

Fluorouracil injection (500 mg)

2.84

2.27

3.41

gamma

[17]

Oxaliplatin (0.5 mg)

0.07

0.06

0.08

gamma

[17]

Inj irinotecan liposome (1 mg)

62.49

49.99

74.98

gamma

[17]

Paclitaxel protein bound (1 mg)

14.79

11.83

17.74

gamma

[17]

In gemcitabine hcl nos (200 mg)

3.93

3.15

4.72

gamma

[17]

Capecitabine oral (500 mg)

1.17

0.94

1.40

gamma

[17]

Carboplatin injection (50 mg)

2.76

2.21

3.31

gamma

[17]

Irinotecan injection (20 mg)

2.06

1.65

2.48

gamma

[17]

Magnetic Resonance Imaging

308.35

95.47

539.54

gamma

[17]

Chemo iv infusion for 1 h

134.90

113.09

181.29

gamma

[17]

Sequential infusion each additional hour

28.25

25.43

31.08

gamma

[17]

Premedication cost for nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine

152.92

122.34

183.50

gamma

[15]

Premedication cost for NALIRIFOX

1236.13

988.90

1483.36

gamma

[15]

follow up cost before progression

519.04

415.23

622.85

gamma

[15]

follow up cost after progression

1064.65

851.72

1277.58

gamma

[15]

Best supportive care/cycle

2137.11

1709.69

2564.53

gamma

[23]

End-of-life/patient

21747.14

17397.71

26096.57

gamma

[24]

Clinical input

Weibull model for NALIRIFOX PFS (shape)

1.22

1.10

1.34

gamma

Model fitting results

Weibull model for NALIRIFOX PFS (scale)

10.47

9.45

11.61

gamma

Model fitting results

Utility

PFS

0.74

0.73

0.76

beta

[13]

PD

0.67

0.65

0.69

beta

[5]

Disutility of adverse events

Diarrhoea

0.21

0.17

0.25

beta

[15]

Nausea

0.05

0.04

0.06

beta

[25]

Vomiting

0.05

0.04

0.06

beta

[5]

Decreased appetite

0.0020

0.0018

0.0024

beta

[26]

Fatigue

0.2040

0.1836

0.2244

beta

[27]

Asthenia

0.2040

0.1836

0.2244

beta

[13]

Neutropenia

0.0900

0.0620

0.1220

beta

[25]

Anaemia

0.2040

0.1836

0.2244

beta

[13]

Peripheral neuropathy

0.2260

0.2034

0.2486

beta

[28]

Abdominal pain

0.0510

0.0200

0.1000

beta

[29]

Mucosal inflammation

0.2690

0.2421

0.2959

beta

[30]

Constipation

0.1700

0.1530

0.1870

beta

[31]

Ascites

0.1700

0.1530

0.1870

beta

[31]

Increased γ-glutamyltransferase

0.1700

0.1530

0.1870

beta

[31]

Time duration of adverse events (days)

Diarrhoea

5.57

5.013

6.127

normal

[5]

Nausea

11.18

10.0611

12.2969

normal

Vomiting

5.85

5.2668

6.4372

normal

Decreased appetite

22.04

19.8378

24.2462

normal

Fatigue

19.89

17.8965

21.8735

normal

Asthenia

17.63

15.8661

19.3919

normal

Neutropenia

9.547

8.5923

10.5017

normal

Anaemia

12.40

11.16

13.64

normal

Peripheral neuropathy

26.917

24.2253

29.6087

normal

Abdominal pain

10.452

9.4068

11.4972

normal

Cost for adverse events treatment per cycle

Diarrhea

7332.19

5865.75

8798.63

gamma

[15]

Nausea

7660.29

6128.23

9192.35

gamma

[32]

Vomiting

830.60

664.48

996.72

gamma

[32]

Neutropenia

13656.00

10924.80

16387.20

gamma

[33]

Anemia

7941.00

6352.80

9529.20

gamma

[33]

Asthenia

8099.62

6479.70

9719.54

gamma

[34]

Peripheral Neuropathy

30734.00

24587.20

36880.80

gamma

[35]

Decreased appetite

160.00

128.00

192.00

gamma

[36]

Increased γ-glutamyltransferase

5584.70

4467.76

6701.64

gamma

[31]

Abdominal pain

6538.09

5230.47

7845.71

gamma

[30]

Ascites

10191.85

8153.48

12230.22

gamma

[31]

Constipation

6749.29

5399.43

8099.15

gamma

[31]

Mucosal inflammation

10797.87

8638.30

12957.44

gamma

[30]

Fatigue

2668.76

2135.01

3202.51

gamma

[31]

Risk of adverse events in NALIRIFOX

Diarrhoea

0.20

0.18

0.22

beta

[7]

Nausea

0.12

0.108

0.132

beta

Vomiting

0.07

0.063

0.077

beta

Decreasaed appetite

0.09

0.081

0.099

beta

Fatigue

0.06

0.054

0.066

beta

Asthenia

0.09

0.081

0.099

beta

Neutropenia

0.14

0.126

0.154

beta

Anaemia

0.11

0.099

0.121

beta

Abdominal pain

0.04

0.036

0.044

beta

Peripheral neuropathy

0.03

0.027

0.033

beta

Ascites

0.03

0.027

0.033

beta

Constipation

0.02

0.018

0.022

beta

Mucosal inflammation

0.02

0.018

0.022

beta

Increased γ-glutamyltransferase

0.06

0.054

0.066

beta

Risk of adverse events in nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine

Diarrhoea

0.05

0.045

0.055

beta

[7]

Nausea

0.03

0.027

0.033

beta

Vomiting

0.02

0.018

0.022

beta

Decreasaed appetite

0.03

0.027

0.033

beta

Fatigue

0.05

0.045

0.055

beta

Asthenia

0.05

0.045

0.055

beta

Neutropenia

0.25

0.225

0.275

beta

Anaemia

0.17

0.153

0.187

beta

Peripheral neuropathy

0.06

0.054

0.066

beta

Increased γ-glutamyltransferase

0.06

0.054

0.066

beta

Other

Body Surface Area (m2)

1.79

1.78

1.80

normal

[13]

discount

0.03

0

0.08

beta

Proportions of subsequent treatment

NALIRIFOX

0.505

-

-

-

[7]

nab-paclitaxel and gemcitabine

0.544

-

-

-